USD/CHF worked out at 0.8179 on Thursday 5 November, using the ECB's euro reference rates, 24 pips above Wednesday's 0.8155, the lowest rate of the last 20 working days. The pair is below its 20-day (0.8256) and 50-day (0.8227) averages and resting on the 100-day (0.8160). Its October highs have each been lower, from 0.8353 on 1 October to 0.8306 on 28 October.

The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) on the reference rates is about 41. The Swiss National Bank's policy rate is 0%.

USD/CHF at a Glance

USD/CHF · US Dollar / Swiss Franc
0.8179 (ECB-derived, 5 Nov)+24 pips (+0.29%)
6 November 2026, ECB rates of 5 Nov, gold 03:58 UTC · change vs previous reference rate
Today's biasBearish
BearishNeutralBullish
Bearish below 0.8230
7-day range0.8155 to 0.8306151 pips, daily reference rates
RSI (14-day)41 · Neutral zone
3070
Moving averages
20-day0.8256 ▼
50-day0.8227 ▼
100-day0.8160 ▲
Price above 1 of 3
20-day range0.8155 to 0.8334
LowHigh

1Up 24 pips to 0.8179 from the 20-day low.

2Resting on the 100-day average (0.8160).

3October highs stepped lower each time.

Analysis, not financial advice. Check live quotes before trading.

USD/CHF Live Chart and Technical Meter

Both widgets update in real time, so they may differ from the levels written at ECB rates of 5 Nov, gold 03:58 UTC.

USD/CHF live chart

US Dollar / Swiss Franc, real-time price
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USD/CHF technical meter

Live buy/sell summary of moving averages and oscillators
Live
Technical summary by TradingView, updated live. A reading of indicators, not a trade signal or advice.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Distance is measured from the price at ECB rates of 5 Nov, gold 03:58 UTC.

R 30.8305+126 pips28 October swing high (0.8306)
R 20.8255+76 pips20-day average (0.8256)
R 10.8230+51 pips50-day average (0.8227), the 30 October rate (0.8230) and the 22 October swing low (0.8220)
Now0.8179 (ECB-derived, 5 Nov)CurrentPrice at the time of writing
S 10.8160−19 pips100-day average (0.8160) and the 4 November rate (0.8155), the 20-day low
S 20.8120−59 pips10 September swing high (0.8120) and the 18 August rate (0.8125)
S 30.8000−179 pips20 and 21 August rates (0.7990, 0.7995), the 60-day low

USD/CHF Trading Plan Today

Three setups for the days ahead: sell a rally into 0.8225 to 0.8235 with a stop above 0.8270, sell a confirmed close below 0.8150, or buy a close above 0.8260. Today's US jobs report is the main event for the pair, so expect wider swings around 13:30 UTC.

Sell

Sell the 0.8230 rally

Entry
0.8225–0.8235
Stop
0.8270
TP 1
0.8160
TP 2
0.8120
Risk : reward1:1.4–3.3
Possible gain65–115 pips
Sell

Sell the breakdown

Entry
Below 0.8150 (close)
Stop
0.8195
TP 1
0.8120
TP 2
0.8000
Risk : reward1:0.7–3.3
Possible gain30–150 pips
Buy

Buy a trend break

Entry
Above 0.8260 (close)
Stop
0.8215
TP 1
0.8305
TP 2
0.8335
Risk : reward1:1.0–1.7
Possible gain45–75 pips

USD/CHF tends to move most in the London session and the London and New York overlap, when European and US data come out.

Keep each trade's risk to 1% to 2% of your account, and work out the size with the position size calculator before you enter. The levels come from daily reference rates, so allow a few pips either side.

Show the setups as a table
Market BiasEntry ZoneStop LossTake Profit 1Take Profit 2Risk RewardPossible Gain (pips)
Bearish0.8225–0.82350.82700.81600.81201:1.4–3.365–115
BearishBelow 0.8150 (close)0.81950.81200.80001:0.7–3.330–150
BullishAbove 0.8260 (close)0.82150.83050.83351:1.0–1.745–75

USD/CHF Price Outlook: Bull and Bear Cases

Bearish scenario

A soft US jobs report would add to the dollar's recent losses against the franc. A close below 0.8150 would break the 100-day average and open 0.8120, then 0.8000.

Bullish scenario

Strong US payrolls could extend Thursday's dollar gains. A close above 0.8260 would put the pair back over its 20-day average and open 0.8305, then 0.8335.

USD/CHF Market Structure and Indicators

20-day average0.8256Price below by 77 pips
50-day average0.8227Price below by 48 pips
100-day average0.8160Price above by 19 pips
14-day RSI41Between 30 and 70

On the reference rates, USD/CHF rose from 0.7990 on 20 August, the low of the last 60 working days, to 0.8353 on 1 October. Since then the highs have stepped down: 0.8337 on 8 October, 0.8334 on 14 October and 0.8306 on 28 October. Four falls in five working days then took the rate to 0.8155 on 4 November, the lowest of the last 20 working days.

The pair is below its 20 and 50-day averages and resting on the 100-day at 0.8160, with the RSI near 41. A close under 0.8150 would break that average and open 0.8120; a close above 0.8260 would recover the 20-day average and end the run of lower highs.

Last 7 Days Recap

0.83060.82310.8155Wed28 OctThu29 OctFri30 OctMon2 NovTue3 NovWed4 NovThu5 Nov

USD/CHF fell 107 pips over the last seven working days on the reference rates, from 0.8286 to 0.8179, with three rises and four falls. A 20-pip rise to 0.8306 on 28 October was the high of the period. A 56-pip fall on 30 October was the largest move, and further drops of 34 and 44 pips took the pair to 0.8155 on Wednesday before Thursday's 24-pip rebound.

DateReference rateChange
Wed 28 Oct0.8306+20 pips (+0.24%)
Thu 29 Oct0.8286−20 pips (−0.24%)
Fri 30 Oct0.8230−56 pips (−0.68%)
Mon 2 Nov0.8196−34 pips (−0.41%)
Tue 3 Nov0.8199+3 pips (+0.04%)
Wed 4 Nov0.8155−44 pips (−0.54%)
Thu 5 Nov0.8179+24 pips (+0.29%)
7-day range0.8155 to 0.8306−107 pips (−1.29%)
Last 7 working days. Derived from ECB euro reference rates, set around 14:15 CET each working day; USD/CHF = EUR/CHF ÷ EUR/USD. Change is from the previous working day's rate.

Today’s Economic Calendar and News

  • US jobs report (October)High impact
  • US CPI (October) and 10-year auctionHigh impact
  • Swiss National Bank decisionHigh impact

Thursday brought the Bank of England's first rate rise of this energy shock: Bank Rate went to 4% from 3.75% by eight votes to one, with one member wanting 4.25%, and the Bank now expects UK inflation to reach around 5% by the middle of next year. US data followed, with the Bureau of Labor Statistics reporting third-quarter productivity up 3.6% at an annual rate and unit labour costs down 0.7%. On the Treasury's par curve the 2-year yield fell to 4.46% from 4.58% and the 10-year to 4.84% from 4.90%. Even so, the dollar was firmer across the board on the reference rates, which were set at about 13:15 UTC, before the US figures. Spot gold was $4,045.50 at 03:58 UTC on Friday (gold-api.com), down from $4,138.40 a day earlier. The US October jobs report comes out at 13:30 UTC today. Currency prices on this page are European Central Bank (ECB) reference rates from Thursday 5 November; the live chart shows where the market trades now. On the other side of the pair, our US jobs report story covers today's release. The Swiss National Bank's policy rate is 0%, held in September, against a Fed range of 3.75% to 4.00%; the SNB next decides on 10 December.

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Geopolitical Factors and Market Impact

The Swiss franc tends to gain when investors turn cautious, so a sharp fall in global stock markets or a jump in tension in the Middle East usually pushes USD/CHF lower.

Final Outlook and Analyst’s Note

Bottom line

USD/CHF is resting on its 100-day average at 0.8179 after a run of lower highs. The bias is bearish below 0.8230: sell a rally to 0.8225 to 0.8235, sell a close under 0.8150, and turn bullish only on a close above 0.8260.

The franc has been the steadier side of this pair for a month. The 100-day average at 0.8160 is the line to watch today.

“I would sell a rally into 0.8225 to 0.8235 with a stop above 0.8270, looking for 0.8160. A close above 0.8260 would change my mind.”

Tanbir Habib Riyad, Forex & Crypto Analyst, FX Recap

Before You Trade: Checklist and Tools

  • Confirm the bias: Bearish below 0.8230. Trade with it unless price closes beyond the levels that cancel it.
  • Mark the key levels on your own chart: resistance 0.8230 · 0.8255 · 0.8305, support 0.8160 · 0.8120 · 0.8000.
  • Note the event times: US jobs report (October) (fri 6 nov), US CPI (October) and 10-year auction (tue 10 nov), Swiss National Bank decision (thu 10 dec). Spreads often widen around Fri 6 Nov UTC.
  • Place the stop loss before you enter, at the level shown on the setup card, and never move it further away.
  • Size the position so a stop-out costs no more than 1% to 2% of your account.
  • Check your own chart and your state of mind with Chart Pre-Flight before you enter.
Position size calculatorLots for your riskPip calculatorValue of each pipRisk-reward calculatorCheck the ratioChart Pre-FlightCheck your own chart

Other markets today

EUR/USD Neutral1.1224 (ECB, 5 Nov) · Neutral between 1.1180 and 1.1270GBP/USD Bullish1.3459 (ECB-derived, 5 Nov) · Bullish above 1.3400Gold Neutral$4,045 (spot, 03:58 UTC) · Neutral between $4,000 and $4,140USD/JPY Neutral158.46 (ECB-derived, 5 Nov) · Neutral to bullish above 157.95AUD/USD Neutral0.7001 (ECB-derived, 5 Nov) · Neutral between 0.6985 and 0.7035USD/CAD Bearish1.3966 (ECB-derived, 5 Nov) · Bearish below 1.4000

Disclaimer: this analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Forex trading carries a high risk of losing money quickly. Prices quoted are as of 6 November 2026, ECB rates of 5 Nov, gold 03:58 UTC.

Cite this guide

FX Recap, "USD/CHF Analysis Today: Franc Pair at 0.8179, Resting on the 100-Day Average", updated 6 November 2026, https://fxrecap.com/forex-news/technical-analysis/usd-chf-analysis-today

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