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Risk-Reward Ratio Calculator: Stop, Target and Break-Even Win Rate

Enter your entry, stop-loss and take-profit to see the risk-reward ratio, the money at stake and the win rate you need just to break even.

1:2common minimum target
33%break-even win rate at 1:2
3instrument presets
0sign-up needed

Risk-reward calculator

Direction
Risk-reward ratio– 
Risk–
Reward–
Break-even win rate–
Pips risked / targeted–

Expectancy at different win rates

Win ratePer tradePer 100 trades

Before spread and commission. Expectancy in R, where 1R is the amount at risk.

This tool is for education and planning only and is not financial advice. Forex and CFD trading carries a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Check your broker's own contract specifications, fees and margin rules before you trade.

What the risk-reward ratio tells you

The risk-reward ratio compares what a trade stands to lose if the stop-loss is hit with what it stands to gain if the take-profit is reached. A trade risking 20 pips to make 60 has a ratio of 1:3: it earns three units of risk (3R) when it works and loses one (1R) when it does not.

On its own, the ratio says nothing about whether a trade is good. A 1:5 target that is rarely reached can lose money, and a 1:1 trade that wins 60% of the time makes money. The ratio becomes useful when you combine it with your realistic win rate, which is exactly what the break-even figure in the calculator does.

Break-even win rate for each ratio

The minimum share of trades you must win to break even before costs, from the formula 1 ÷ (1 + R).

Risk-rewardBreak-even win rateProfit per 10 trades at a 50% win rate
1:0.566.7%−2.5R
1:150.0%0R
1:1.540.0%+2.5R
1:233.3%+5R
1:325.0%+10R
1:420.0%+15R

Expectancy per trade = (win rate × average win) − (loss rate × average loss). A positive number, after costs, is what makes a strategy worth trading.

How to set a sensible stop and target

  1. Place the stop where the idea fails

    Beyond a recent swing high or low, or outside the normal noise measured by the Average True Range. Never at a round number chosen for comfort.

  2. Find a realistic target

    The next support or resistance level, a previous high or low, or a measured move. If the nearest level gives less than 1:1.5, consider skipping the trade.

  3. Size the position from the stop

    Use the position size calculator so the stop costs a fixed share of your account, typically 0.5% to 2%.

  4. Check the costs

    Add the spread to the stop distance and subtract it from the target. On short-term trades this can turn 1:2 into 1:1.6.

  5. Record the result in R

    Logging results in multiples of risk shows if your average win and win rate really produce a positive expectancy.

Worked example: a EUR/USD trade

Illustrative case: Aisha, 31, KarachiThe name is invented and the prices are illustrative; the arithmetic is standard.
  1. The setup

    Aisha plans to buy EUR/USD at 1.1650 with a stop at 1.1625 (25 pips) and a target at 1.1700 (50 pips).

  2. The ratio

    50 ÷ 25 gives 1:2, so she needs to win more than 33.3% of such trades to break even.

  3. The money

    At 0.2 lots, a pip is worth $2: the stop risks $50 and the target aims for $100.

  4. The cost check

    A 1-pip spread makes it 26 pips of risk for 49 of reward, about 1:1.9. The trade still clears her rule of 1:1.5 or better.

The ratio was only half the decision. Aisha's journal shows she wins about 45% of these setups, which at 1:1.9 gives a positive expectancy of roughly 0.3R per trade.

Risk-reward mistakes to avoid

Chasing big ratios

A 1:5 target that price rarely reaches lowers your win rate more than it raises your average win.

Moving the stop

Widening a stop after entry changes the ratio you planned and the money at risk.

Ignoring costs

On scalps, spread and commission can consume a third of the reward.

Judging one trade

Risk-reward works over dozens of trades. A single loss says nothing about the method.

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Risk-Reward Calculator FAQs

What is a good risk-reward ratio in forex?

Many traders use 1:2 as a minimum, which needs a win rate above 33% to break even before costs. The right ratio depends on your strategy's win rate; trend strategies often use 1:2 or more, while range strategies may work at 1:1 with a higher win rate.

How do I calculate the risk-reward ratio?

Divide the distance from entry to take-profit by the distance from entry to stop-loss. A 60-pip target and a 20-pip stop give 1:3.

What win rate do I need at 1:2?

33.3% to break even before costs, from 1 ÷ (1 + 2). Anything above that is profit, if your average win and loss match the plan.

Is a 1:1 risk-reward ratio bad?

Not necessarily. At 1:1 you need to win more than 50% of trades after costs. Some mean-reversion strategies manage that; most beginners do not.

Does the calculator work for gold and yen pairs?

Yes. Choose the instrument preset and the calculator uses the right pip size: 0.01 for yen pairs and a $0.01 price step for gold, where one standard lot is 100 ounces.

What does 'R' mean?

R is one unit of risk: the amount you lose if the stop is hit. Measuring wins and losses in R lets you compare trades of different sizes.

Sources: Investor.gov: stop, stop-limit and trailing stop orders, FCA PS19/18: restricting CFDs for retail clients.