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Currency Volatility

17 currencies ranked by how much they swung against the US dollar over the past 52 weeks, with their 12-month change and biggest weekly move. Built from European Central Bank reference rates.

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Exchange ratesECB dataVideo

The Brazilian real's −7.4% week

The Brazilian real made the largest one-week move in the index, −7.4% against the dollar in the week to 30 October 2026, the week after Brazil's presidential runoff on 25 October.

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Key findings

5 figures to quote

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  1. The Brazilian real was the most volatile of 17 currencies against the US dollar over the 52 weeks to 30 October 2026, with annualised volatility of 11.6%.

    Source: FX Recap Currency Volatility Index, ECB reference rates
  2. The Brazilian real made the largest one-week move in the index: −7.4% against the dollar in the week to 30 October 2026.

    Source: FX Recap Currency Volatility Index, ECB reference rates
  3. The Turkish lira lost the most against the dollar, −15.8% over 12 months, even though its volatility was only 0.9%: it fell in small, steady steps.

    Source: FX Recap Currency Volatility Index, ECB reference rates
  4. The Australian dollar gained the most against the dollar, +7.4% over 12 months.

    Source: FX Recap Currency Volatility Index, ECB reference rates
  5. The Hong Kong dollar, which is pegged to the US dollar, was the least volatile at 0.4%.

    Source: FX Recap Currency Volatility Index, ECB reference rates
The index

17 currencies against the US dollar

Ranked by annualised volatility over the 52 weeks to 30 October 2026. A positive change means the currency strengthened against the dollar.

How much currencies swung against the dollarAnnualised volatility of weekly moves, 52 weeks to 30 October 2026Brazilian real11.6%South African rand10.1%South Korean won9.6%Mexican peso8.8%Australian dollar7.7%Japanese yen7.5%Thai baht6.6%Philippine peso5.7%Malaysian ringgit5.7%Indian rupee5.6%British pound5.5%Euro5.5%Indonesian rupiah4.2%Singapore dollar3.3%Chinese yuan1.9%Turkish lira0.9%Hong Kong dollar0.4%Source: FX Recap Currency Volatility Index, from ECB reference ratesfxrecap.com
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#CurrencyVolatilityPer USD, 31 October 2025Per USD, 30 October 202612-month changeLargest weekly move
1Brazilian real (BRL)11.6%5.380915.43251−0.9%−7.4% week to 30 October 2026
2South African rand (ZAR)10.1%17.349116.6895+4%−4.8% week to 6 March 2026
3South Korean won (KRW)9.6%1,428.141,335.27+7%−3.3% week to 18 September 2026
4Mexican peso (MXN)8.8%18.546518.9077−1.9%−3.5% week to 2 October 2026
5Australian dollar (AUD)7.7%1.529511.42356+7.4%+2.9% week to 10 April 2026
6Japanese yen (JPY)7.5%154.18157.25−2%+2.6% week to 30 January 2026
7Thai baht (THB)6.6%32.324733.7299−4.2%−2.8% week to 6 March 2026
8Philippine peso (PHP)5.7%58.711363.6797−7.8%−2.7% week to 6 March 2026
9Malaysian ringgit (MYR)5.7%4.187994.05702+3.2%−1.9% week to 19 June 2026
10Indian rupee (INR)5.6%88.719994.9552−6.6%+1.8% week to 16 October 2026
11British pound (GBP)5.5%0.7630260.74633+2.2%−1.9% week to 15 May 2026
12Euro (EUR)5.5%0.8655010.895095−3.3%−2.1% week to 6 March 2026
13Indonesian rupiah (IDR)4.2%16,661.918,148.2−8.2%+1.6% week to 12 June 2026
14Singapore dollar (SGD)3.3%1.301631.27837+1.8%−1.2% week to 6 March 2026
15Chinese yuan (CNY)1.9%7.116156.65288+7%+1% week to 10 April 2026
16Turkish lira (TRY)0.9%42.048849.9476−15.8%−0.7% week to 16 October 2026
17Hong Kong dollar (HKD)0.4%7.771077.84569−1%−0.2% week to 2 January 2026
How to read it

Volatility is not the same as a fall

Volatility measures how far a currency swings from week to week, not its direction. The Turkish lira lost 15.8% against the dollar in a year yet ranks near the bottom at 0.9%, because it fell by similar small amounts every week. A trader holding lira lost value steadily; one holding the Brazilian real or the South African rand faced sudden jumps.

The biggest single week was Brazil's. The real fell in the week after the presidential runoff on 25 October, in which Brazil's electoral court declared Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva re-elected with 51.79% of valid votes.

Managed and pegged currencies sit at the bottom: the Hong Kong dollar, which is pegged to the US dollar, and the Chinese yuan. Free-floating emerging currencies, the real, the rand and the won, sit near the top.

For a leveraged trader, a bigger weekly swing means a larger margin buffer. Under a 1:30 cap a 3.33% move against a position wipes out its margin; the Brazilian real moved 7.4% in a single week. See forex leverage limits by country.

Method

How we calculate it

RatesECB euro foreign exchange reference rates, crossed to the US dollar (currency per EUR ÷ USD per EUR). The last ECB fix on or before each Friday.
Weekly changeln(rate this Friday ÷ rate last Friday), in units of the currency per US dollar
VolatilityStandard deviation of the 52 weekly changes × √52
12-month changeRate on 31 October 2025 ÷ rate on 30 October 2026 − 1 (positive = the currency strengthened)
CoverageCurrencies the ECB publishes a reference rate for. The naira, Pakistani rupee, Kenyan shilling and others are not included.

Source: ECB Data Portal, series EXR.D.*.EUR.SP00.A. Calculated in code; all figures are in the free CSV.

Cite this page

Free to use, including commercially, with a credit to FX Recap and a link to this page (CC BY 4.0).

FX Recap, "Currency Volatility Index", data to 30 October 2026, https://fxrecap.com/currency-volatility-index

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Jowel Rana
Jowel RanaCo-Founder & Forex Trader, FX Recap[email protected] · comment, data and charts on request

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FAQs

Currency volatility: common questions

Which currency was the most volatile against the dollar?

Of the 17 currencies in our index, the Brazilian real, with annualised volatility of 11.6% over the 52 weeks to 30 October 2026, followed by the South African rand (10.1%).

Which currency lost the most against the dollar?

The Turkish lira, −15.8% over 12 months, followed by the Indonesian rupiah.

What does currency volatility measure?

How much a currency's exchange rate swings from week to week, not which way it moves. We take the standard deviation of 52 weekly log changes and multiply it by the square root of 52.

Where do the exchange rates come from?

From the European Central Bank's euro foreign exchange reference rates, crossed to the US dollar. We use the last ECB fix on or before each Friday.

Risk warning. Forex and CFD trading carries a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Past volatility does not predict future moves. This page is information, not financial advice.

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